PPT Slide
Expected default frequency
• Expected default frequency (EDF) is a forward-looking measure
of actual probability of default. EDF is firm specific.
• KMV model is based on the structural approach to calculate EDF
(credit risk is driven by the firm value process).
– It is best when applied to publicly traded companies, where the
value of equity is determined by the stock market.
– The market information contained in the firm’s stock price
and balance sheet are translated into an implied risk of default.